PEI HWA PRESBYTERIAN PRIMARY SCHOOL
2026 intake capacity: 224 places
What this means for your family
This school is competitive as early as Phase 2A — even priority connections face pressure before the public phases begin.
New private housing nearby
About 1,608 new private homes have sold within 2km (1,123 within 1km) — about 838 still to be completed.
Context only — new private homes nearby are not yet factored into your odds (display-only until validated against actual outcomes).
Your odds at this school
Pick your phase(s) and drop your address to see your estimated odds.
2026 Phase Tracker
For a child who has a sibling currently studying in the primary school — admitted automatically, no balloting.
Balloted at: beyond 2km (SC>2)
Note: recent applicant spike, volatile phase history
Balloted at: within 1km (SC<1)
Actuals and snapshots replace forecasts as 2026 results are published. Forecasts based on 2023, 2024, 2025 data. Vacancies cascade from earlier phases — later phases have fewer seats.
Phase 2C is still ongoing. Snapshot numbers may change before MOE publishes final results.
Live seats and applicants are MOE's own figures, published 27 Jul 2026.
* Forecast
PEI HWA PRESBYTERIAN PRIMARY SCHOOL ranked #14 of 40 schools that filled up in Phase 2A in 2026 — 83 applicants for 59 seats. See all 40 schools that filled up in Phase 2A.
Why Phase 2A?
The tier is set to the earliest phase where displayed applicants exceed displayed vacancies. For PEI HWA PRESBYTERIAN PRIMARY SCHOOL, that happens at Phase 2A: we forecast approximately 83 applicants competing for 59 seats — a ratio of 1.4×.
Phases after 2A inherit fewer remaining seats because earlier phases absorb capacity first. A ballot at 2A typically means even tighter competition downstream.
Demand by Address Band
Demand context, not your personal probability. These numbers show how many applicants we forecast in each address/citizenship band. Your odds depend on which band you fall into and how many seats remain after earlier phases.
Phase 2A — demand by band
Ballot likely bites: SC 1–2 kmPhase 2B — demand by band
Ballot likely bites: SC within 1 kmPhase 2C — demand by band
Ballot likely bites: SC within 1 kmBand forecasts use segment priors and limited direct history — treat as rough demand signals, not precise counts. Volatile bands (shown in outline) carry higher uncertainty.
Ballot history (2009–2025)
| Year | Phase 1 | 2A | 2B | 2C |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 111/164 | 120/53 | 51/20 | 84/41 |
| 2024 | 89/164 | 127/75 | 22/20 | 66/41 |
| 2023 | 102/164 | 93/62 | 32/20 | 75/40 |
| 2022 | 121/164 | 112/44 | 37/20 | 87/41 |
| 2021 | 113/184 | 86/71* | 31/21 | 53/21 |
| 2020 | 118/184 | 69/67* | 29/20 | 63/21 |
Each cell: applicants/seats. balloted · no ballot · balloted, band not published · intake only (—/enrolled).
* 2A1 + 2A2 combined — Phase 2A ran as two sub-rounds before 2022; seats show the 2A1 entering pool only (not summed).
Before 2019, MOE only published Phase 2B and 2C figures. Phase 1 and 2A show enrolled intake (—/n) where available; remaining blanks mean the number was never published.
Forecast reliability
Forecasts are built from publicly available MOE balloting data (2023, 2024, 2025). They extrapolate trends — they are not guarantees. Actual vacancies depend on enrolment decisions made by MOE each year. This tool is a planning aid, not an official source.