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PASIR RIS PRIMARY SCHOOL

Phase 2AVery competitive87% confidence

2026 intake capacity: 150 places

What this means for your family

This school is competitive as early as Phase 2A — even priority connections face pressure before the public phases begin.

New private housing nearby

About 991 new private homes have sold within 2km (26 within 1km) — about 217 still to be completed.

Context only — new private homes nearby are not yet factored into your odds (display-only until validated against actual outcomes).

Your odds at this school

Your estimated odds
📍 no pin
My phases:

Pick your phase(s) and drop your address to see your estimated odds.

2026 Phase Tracker

Phase 1Automatic · no ballot
73
Actual siblings
17
Actual left for 2A

For a child who has a sibling currently studying in the primary school — admitted automatically, no balloting.

Phase 2AVERDICTOversubscribed 2.2×
17
Seats actual
38
Applicants actual
87%
Confidence

Balloted at: SC1-2 (SC1-2)

Phase 2BRoom available
20
Seats actual
15
Applicants actual
92%
Confidence

Note: low volume phase forecast

Phase 2COversubscribed 1.4×
45
Seats actual
62*
Applicants snapshot
91%
Confidence

Actuals and snapshots replace forecasts as 2026 results are published. Forecasts based on 2023, 2024, 2025 data. Vacancies cascade from earlier phases — later phases have fewer seats.

Phase 2C is still ongoing. Snapshot numbers may change before MOE publishes final results.

Live seats and applicants are MOE's own figures, published 27 Jul 2026.

* Forecast

PASIR RIS PRIMARY SCHOOL ranked #4 of 40 schools that filled up in Phase 2A in 2026 — 38 applicants for 17 seats. See all 40 schools that filled up in Phase 2A.

Why Phase 2A?

The tier is set to the earliest phase where displayed applicants exceed displayed vacancies. For PASIR RIS PRIMARY SCHOOL, that happens at Phase 2A: we forecast approximately 38 applicants competing for 17 seats — a ratio of 2.2×.

Phases after 2A inherit fewer remaining seats because earlier phases absorb capacity first. A ballot at 2A typically means even tighter competition downstream.

Demand by Address Band

Demand context, not your personal probability. These numbers show how many applicants we forecast in each address/citizenship band. Your odds depend on which band you fall into and how many seats remain after earlier phases.

Phase 2A — demand by band

Ballot likely bites: SC within 1 km
SC within 1 km← marginal~23
SC 1–2 km~6
SC beyond 2 km~14
PR within 1 km~1
PR 1–2 km~1
PR beyond 2 km~0

Phase 2B — demand by band

Ballot likely bites: PR within 1 km
SC within 1 km~14
SC 1–2 km~4
SC beyond 2 km~1
PR within 1 km← marginal~1
PR 1–2 km~0
PR beyond 2 km~0

Phase 2C — demand by band

Ballot likely bites: SC within 1 km
SC within 1 km← marginal~47
SC 1–2 km~10
SC beyond 2 km~3
PR within 1 km~2
PR 1–2 km~1
PR beyond 2 km~0

Band forecasts use segment priors and limited direct history — treat as rough demand signals, not precise counts. Volatile bands (shown in outline) carry higher uncertainty.

Ballot history (2009–2025)

applicants (solid = balloted) seats
YearPhase 12A2B2C
202578/12047/4219/2059/41
202487/12039/3321/2074/41
202381/12032/3923/2376/47
202283/12033/3722/2180/43
202182/14045/59*22/2854/33
202093/14031/47*24/2981/33

Each cell: applicants/seats. balloted · no ballot · balloted, band not published · intake only (—/enrolled).

* 2A1 + 2A2 combined — Phase 2A ran as two sub-rounds before 2022; seats show the 2A1 entering pool only (not summed).

Before 2019, MOE only published Phase 2B and 2C figures. Phase 1 and 2A show enrolled intake (—/n) where available; remaining blanks mean the number was never published.

Forecast reliability

Forecasts are built from publicly available MOE balloting data (2023, 2024, 2025). They extrapolate trends — they are not guarantees. Actual vacancies depend on enrolment decisions made by MOE each year. This tool is a planning aid, not an official source.